Prediction of Oliver Crawford vs Kaichi Uchida at Kobe Challenger 11-13-25

• How does second serve performance influence match predictions? Oliver Crawford excels slightly with a 48.55% win rate on second serve points compared to Kaichi Uchida's 43.57%.
• In return games on the opponent's second serve, Oliver Crawford has a slight edge with a 45.66% win rate over Kaichi Uchida's 44.27%.
• On first serve returns, Oliver Crawford secures 25.21% of points, marginally outperforming Kaichi Uchida's 24.23%.
• How do both players handle pressure situations? They're nearly evenly matched, with Crawford saving 55.13% and Uchida 55.19% of breakpoints, suggesting similar resilience under pressure.
• Oliver Crawford has a stronger overall match-winning percentage over the last year at 72.04% compared to Kaichi Uchida's 58.90%.
• Do playing surfaces matter? Crawford's best surface is Hard (70% win rate), while Uchida excels on Clay (70%). Crawford, however, struggles more on Grass (54%) compared to Uchida on Hard (50%).
• At the $10K tournament level, Crawford has a higher win rate of 82.00% compared to Uchida's 65.12%, indicating a better performance in lower-tier events.
• The average rank of opponents faced by Crawford over the last year is 403.44, showing slightly tougher competition than Uchida's average opponent rank of 437.03.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Crawford has a 62% win rate, slightly better than Uchida's 58% over the last year.
• In converting breakpoints, Crawford again leads with a 34.50% conversion rate compared to Uchida's 28.89%, indicating more efficiency in crucial moments.

Editorial Prediction (November 13, 2025, UTC):

Analysing recent stats, Oliver Crawford appears to have a slight edge in several key areas over Kaichi Uchida. His superior performance in second serve points, return games, and deciding sets demonstrate a consistent advantage.

The ability to convert breakpoints effectively further strengthens Crawford's competitive edge, despite both players showing similar resilience under pressure. Match-winning percentages over the past year also tip the scales in Crawford's favor.

While the playing surface may impact performance, Crawford's success on Hard courts and overall higher win ratio suggest he is well-positioned to capitalize on any opportunities presented. Based on the available data, Oliver Crawford is the likelier winner in this upcoming tennis match.